Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.098833 0.106831 0.115348 0.125124 0.136071 0.147994 0.162018
2024-10-27 0.084325 0.095092 0.107255 0.122125 0.139968 0.160892 0.187585
2024-11-03 0.079136 0.092139 0.107505 0.127249 0.152317 0.183603 0.226461
2024-11-10 0.076026 0.090862 0.109059 0.133453 0.165981 0.208912 0.271753
2024-11-17 0.071226 0.086830 0.106525 0.133813 0.171656 0.223947 0.304902
2024-11-24 0.066346 0.082178 0.102628 0.131740 0.173459 0.233406 0.330895
2024-12-01 0.061931 0.077743 0.098572 0.128920 0.173672 0.240251 0.353476
2024-12-08 0.057662 0.073186 0.093968 0.124843 0.171488 0.242990 0.369465
2024-12-15 0.055015 0.070639 0.091916 0.124190 0.174241 0.253526 0.400090
2024-12-22 0.052266 0.067772 0.089198 0.122285 0.174778 0.260386 0.425071
2024-12-29 0.050684 0.066433 0.088549 0.123387 0.180102 0.275722 0.468456
2025-01-05 0.048115 0.063546 0.085464 0.120486 0.178565 0.278900 0.488302
2025-01-12 0.045337 0.060357 0.081949 0.116974 0.176225 0.281326 0.509287
2025-01-19 0.042865 0.057516 0.078827 0.113922 0.174490 0.284857 0.534001
2025-01-26 0.042510 0.057762 0.080374 0.118532 0.186589 0.316323 0.630055
2025-02-02 0.042391 0.058336 0.082439 0.124149 0.201148 0.355188 0.757265
2025-02-09 0.041097 0.057043 0.081469 0.124474 0.205796 0.374171 0.839063
2025-02-16 0.039436 0.055101 0.079340 0.122596 0.205949 0.383323 0.896082
2025-02-23 0.037756 0.053053 0.076931 0.120039 0.204488 0.388590 0.943316
2025-03-02 0.035962 0.050753 0.073996 0.116340 0.200365 0.387075 0.968724
2025-03-09 0.034884 0.049543 0.072807 0.115747 0.202583 0.401100 1.051634
2025-03-16 0.033661 0.048050 0.071068 0.114016 0.202230 0.408738 1.115354
2025-03-23 0.033008 0.047448 0.070799 0.115018 0.207832 0.432485 1.250754